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Bitcoin’s Ascent to $97,000: A Rally Built on Shaky Ground

Bitcoin’s Ascent to $97,000: A Rally Built on Shaky Ground

Published:
2026-01-20 09:30:16
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As of January 20, 2026, Bitcoin's remarkable surge toward the $97,000 mark presents a complex and cautionary tale for the digital asset market. While the headline price action, driven by a substantial $840 million influx into spot bitcoin ETFs, suggests unbridled bullish momentum, a deeper analysis of derivatives market signals reveals significant underlying trepidation among sophisticated traders. The persistent preference for protective put options, indicated by a delta skew stubbornly holding at +4%, signals a market that is actively hedging against a potential pullback even as prices climb. This divergence between spot price action and derivatives sentiment creates a precarious foundation for the current rally. The geopolitical landscape and correlated traditional financial markets further amplify this sense of caution. Volatile equity markets, exemplified by the Nasdaq's struggle to maintain momentum, alongside a dip in 10-year Treasury yields to 3.51%, reflect a broader risk-off sentiment and macroeconomic uncertainty that inevitably spills over into cryptocurrency valuations. These factors suggest that the rally, while impressive, is not universally embraced as sustainable by institutional and professional market participants who are keying in on derivatives data. The current environment underscores a critical phase for Bitcoin: it must demonstrate resilience not just in spot buying pressure but also in converting derivative market skepticism into conviction to solidify gains above the $95,000 threshold and validate its trajectory toward the $100,000 psychological barrier.

Bitcoin's Rally Faces Caution Amid Derivatives Market Signals

Bitcoin's price surge toward $97,000, fueled by $840 million in ETF inflows, masks underlying market trepidation. Derivatives data reveals a persistent preference for protective put options, with delta skew stuck at +4%—a sign traders anticipate a pullback despite the rally.

Geopolitical tensions and volatile equity markets amplify the caution. The Nasdaq struggles for momentum as Treasury yields dip to 3.51%, reflecting a broader flight to safety. Institutional interest in Bitcoin grows, yet positions remain tentative as the $105,000 resistance looms.

Bitcoin Nears $97K as Derivatives Reset Signals Healthier Market Structure

Bitcoin's climb toward $97,000 marks a pivotal shift in market dynamics, with open interest plunging 31% since October. The deleveraging mirrors historical cycle bottoms, reducing speculative froth and allowing spot demand to drive price action. Trading volume remains robust at nearly $60 billion daily, but the derivatives unwind suggests a structural reset.

The market's transition from Leveraged speculation to organic buying is underscored by short-covering activity rather than aggressive futures positioning. Analysts note this as a bullish divergence: price recovery without the overhang of excessive leverage. Spot-driven rallies tend to be more sustainable, though volatility may persist until new equilibrium levels are established.

Bitcoin's Gamma Squeeze Signals Structural Shift as Price Nears $97,000

Bitcoin's price surge past $97,000 reflects more than speculative fervor—it reveals a gamma squeeze and structural shifts in capital flows. The cryptocurrency reached $97,860, its highest level since November, fueled by spot ETF inflows and dwindling sell-side pressure.

On-chain metrics point to institutional accumulation clashing with a supply crunch. Unlike past rallies, this uptrend is anchored in ETF demand and whale accumulation rather than retail speculation. The gamma squeeze suggests impending volatility as market makers adjust positions.

Parallels emerge with gold's historical trajectory, where bitcoin appears to follow a delayed but similar parabolic arc. Analysts note the $130,000 price target comes into view if this institutional adoption phase sustains momentum through legacy sell-side absorption.

Bitcoin Rally Continues as CZ Predicts $200,000 Target Amid Institutional Inflows

Bitcoin's bullish momentum shows no signs of abating, with Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao (CZ) projecting a long-term target of $200,000. The cryptocurrency currently trades at $96,426, boasting a $1.92 trillion market cap after a 1.51% daily gain. Institutional interest appears poised for further growth, with JPMorgan forecasting record capital inflows through 2026.

Market Optimism centers on expanding institutional adoption, following $130 billion in crypto investments during 2025. Analysts highlight Bitcoin's steady upward trajectory as traditional finance increasingly embraces digital assets. 'It's just a matter of time,' CZ remarked about his $200K prediction, though no specific timeline was provided.

Bitcoin-Backed Visa Credit Card Launched by Argentina's Lemon Crypto Exchange

Argentina's cryptocurrency landscape has reached a pivotal moment with Lemon, the nation's second-largest crypto exchange, introducing a Visa credit card collateralized by Bitcoin. This innovation allows users to access peso-denominated credit while maintaining their BTC holdings—effectively bridging long-term crypto savings with everyday financial utility.

The mechanism is straightforward: users lock 0.01 BTC (approximately $900) as collateral to secure a credit limit of up to one million pesos. Crucially, the Bitcoin remains untouched—neither sold nor converted—eliminating liquidation risks. The card requires no traditional bank account or credit history, addressing Argentina's significant unbanked population.

Lemon's wallet now serves over 5.5 million users, underscoring rapid adoption. The MOVE signals growing institutional confidence in Bitcoin's role as both a store of value and a functional financial instrument.

Saturn's USDat Token Bridges Bitcoin Dividends to DeFi Without Equity Ownership

Crypto startup Saturn is pioneering a novel financial instrument with its USDat token, enabling investors to access Strategy's 11% Bitcoin-linked dividends without holding the underlying Nasdaq-listed STRC preferred equity. The project has secured $800,000 in funding, including $500,000 from YZi Labs and a $300,000 angel round led by Sora Ventures.

USDat represents a structural innovation in digital assets, converting Strategy's dividend-paying securities into blockchain-native format. Unlike conventional yield-bearing stablecoins backed by Treasuries, Saturn's approach packages public-market credit exposure into DeFi-compatible tokens. Strategy's STRC perpetual security currently offers an 11% annualized yield—triple the 3.6% return of three-month Treasury bills—through monthly dividend resets designed to stabilize secondary-market pricing.

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